New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions
The Warriors have conceded 104 points in their last two games and Brisbane can take advantage. The Broncos are backed for a rare away victory with value on a 1-12 margin.
- 55% of all games this season have finished with 1-12 Winning Margins and 5 of the last 6 games between these teams have finished with 1-12 Margins
- The Warriors (34.9) average the most Tackles Inside 20m in 2024 whilst the Broncos (21.5) average the least.
- The Broncos average a try every 5.2 Tackles Inside 20m, whilst the Warriors average a try every 9.9 Tackles showing their inefficiency when attacking
- Ezra Mam has scored in his last two games against the Warriors.
Head to Head
These two teams have met in six regular season games and one final since the beginning of the 2019 season.
The most recent matchup was the Prelim Final last year which saw the Broncos send the Warriors packing 42-12.
In the previous six regular season games Brisbane hold a 3-2 advantage in the head to head with an 18-18 draw being played out in 2019.
New Zealand Warriors Form
The Warriors were embarrassed by the Titans last weekend on the Gold Coast going down 66-6.
They managed only 1058 Run Metres in the game giving up 1763m to their opponents together with 13 Linebreaks and 46 Missed Tackles.
They also had 12 Errors in the game which hopefully for their fans will be stricken from memory as fast as possible. The last two losses for New Zealand have totalled 104-30 in scorelines.
New Zealand Warriors Team News
Warriors halfback Shaun Johnson has been forced out with an achilles injury with Te Maire Martin slotting into the 7 jumper in his place. Chanel Harris-Tavita is the new five-eighth.
Origin reps Mitch Barnett and Kurt Capewell are both named in the side with Barnett expected to play after being named 18th man, Capewell will need to go through a fitness test following the midweek game.
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak returns from suspension pushing Ed Kosi back to the reserves.
New Zealand Warriors Team List
1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
3. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
4. Adam Pompey
5. Marcelo Montoya
6. Chanel Harris-Tavita
7. Te Maire Martin
8. Addin Fonua-Blake
9. Wayde Egan
10. Jackson Ford
11. Marata Niukore
12. Mitch Barnett
13. Tohu Harris
Interchange
14. Freddy Lussick
15. Dylan Walker
16. Jazz Tevaga
17. Kurt Capewell
Reserves
18. Tom Ale
20. Jacob Laban
21. Edward Kosi
22. Taine Tuaupiki
23. Moala Graham-Taufa
Brisbane Broncos Form
The Broncs are on a 3 game losing run and did not fare well coming off the bye following Origin 1.
In their most recent game they were hampered by errors and penalties giving their opponent the opportunity to have 50 Tackles Inside 20m despite only having 46% Territory in the game.
Allowing only 4 tries in almost 9 full sets of six peppering the line is an above average number for goal line defence which the Broncos can take with them as they try to break their losing streak.
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Origin stars Reece Walsh, Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan have all been named in the reserves. Tristan Sailor is the new fullback with Xavier Willison at prop. Kobe Hetherington replaces Carrigan at lock.
Jesse Arthars returns to the wing following a broken jaw sustained earlier in the season with Josiah Karapani named on the bench. Jordan Riki is suspended, his place in the backrow taken by Jack Gosiewski.
Brisbane Broncos Team List
1. Tristan Sailor
2. Jesse Arthars
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Jock Madden
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Xavier Willison
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jack Gosiewski
13. Kobe Hetherington
Interchange
14. Tyson Smoothy
15. Fletcher Baker
16. Josiah Karapani
17. Martin Taupau
Reserves
18. Josh Rogers
19. Blake Mozer
20. Reece Walsh
21. Payne Haas
22. Patrick Carrigan
23. Corey Oates
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