July 2, 2024
  • New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 17 NRL game
  • Warriors have conceded 104 points in last two games
  • Broncos are backed for a close 1-12 margin victory
  • New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions

    The Warriors have conceded 104 points in their last two games and Brisbane can take advantage. The Broncos are backed for a rare away victory with value on a 1-12 margin.
    • 55% of all games this season have finished with 1-12 Winning Margins and 5 of the last 6 games between these teams have finished with 1-12 Margins
    • The Warriors (34.9) average the most Tackles Inside 20m in 2024 whilst the Broncos (21.5) average the least.
    • The Broncos average a try every 5.2 Tackles Inside 20m, whilst the Warriors average a try every 9.9 Tackles showing their inefficiency when attacking
    • Ezra Mam has scored in his last two games against the Warriors.

    Head to Head

    These two teams have met in six regular season games and one final since the beginning of the 2019 season.
    The most recent matchup was the Prelim Final last year which saw the Broncos send the Warriors packing 42-12.
    In the previous six regular season games Brisbane hold a 3-2 advantage in the head to head with an 18-18 draw being played out in 2019.

    New Zealand Warriors Form

    The Warriors were embarrassed by the Titans last weekend on the Gold Coast going down 66-6.
    They managed only 1058 Run Metres in the game giving up 1763m to their opponents together with 13 Linebreaks and 46 Missed Tackles.
    They also had 12 Errors in the game which hopefully for their fans will be stricken from memory as fast as possible. The last two losses for New Zealand have totalled 104-30 in scorelines.

    New Zealand Warriors Team News

    Warriors halfback Shaun Johnson has been forced out with an achilles injury with Te Maire Martin slotting into the 7 jumper in his place. Chanel Harris-Tavita is the new five-eighth.
    Origin reps Mitch Barnett and Kurt Capewell are both named in the side with Barnett expected to play after being named 18th man, Capewell will need to go through a fitness test following the midweek game.
    Dallin Watene-Zelezniak returns from suspension pushing Ed Kosi back to the reserves.

    New Zealand Warriors Team List

    1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
    2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
    3. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
    4. Adam Pompey
    5. Marcelo Montoya
    6. Chanel Harris-Tavita
    7. Te Maire Martin
    8. Addin Fonua-Blake
    9. Wayde Egan
    10. Jackson Ford
    11. Marata Niukore
    12. Mitch Barnett
    13. Tohu Harris
    Interchange
    14. Freddy Lussick
    15. Dylan Walker
    16. Jazz Tevaga
    17. Kurt Capewell
    Reserves
    18. Tom Ale
    20. Jacob Laban
    21. Edward Kosi
    22. Taine Tuaupiki
    23. Moala Graham-Taufa

    Brisbane Broncos Form

    The Broncs are on a 3 game losing run and did not fare well coming off the bye following Origin 1.
    In their most recent game they were hampered by errors and penalties giving their opponent the opportunity to have 50 Tackles Inside 20m despite only having 46% Territory in the game.
    Allowing only 4 tries in almost 9 full sets of six peppering the line is an above average number for goal line defence which the Broncos can take with them as they try to break their losing streak.

    Brisbane Broncos Team News

    Origin stars Reece Walsh, Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan have all been named in the reserves. Tristan Sailor is the new fullback with Xavier Willison at prop. Kobe Hetherington replaces Carrigan at lock.
    Jesse Arthars returns to the wing following a broken jaw sustained earlier in the season with Josiah Karapani named on the bench. Jordan Riki is suspended, his place in the backrow taken by Jack Gosiewski.

    Brisbane Broncos Team List

    1. Tristan Sailor
    2. Jesse Arthars
    3. Kotoni Staggs
    4. Selwyn Cobbo
    5. Deine Mariner
    6. Ezra Mam
    7. Jock Madden
    8. Corey Jensen
    9. Billy Walters
    10. Xavier Willison
    11. Brendan Piakura
    12. Jack Gosiewski
    13. Kobe Hetherington
    Interchange
    14. Tyson Smoothy
    15. Fletcher Baker
    16. Josiah Karapani
    17. Martin Taupau
    Reserves
    18. Josh Rogers
    19. Blake Mozer
    20. Reece Walsh
    21. Payne Haas
    ​​​​​​​22. Patrick Carrigan
    23. Corey Oates

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